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1From the Centre for Vision Research, Department of Ophthalmology, Westmead Millennium Instiute, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; the 2Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland; the 3Collaborative Health Studies Coordinating Center, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington; the 4Department of Ophthalmology and Visual Science, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin; the 5Centre for Eye Research Australia, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and the 6Departments of Community, Occupational, and Family Medicine and 7Ophthalmology, National University of Singapore, Singapore.
PURPOSE. The arteriole to venule ratio (AVR) is widely used in studies of the associations of retinal microvascular disease with systemic and ocular outcomes. This is a discussion of the limitations of AVR; a comparison of its predictive information with that of its components, arteriolar and venular caliber; and a description of a suggested alternative method of modeling arteriolar and venular calibers directly.
METHODS. Data from the population-based Blue Mountains Eye Study were used to compare the predictive information in models using AVR with models using arteriolar and venular calibers directly. Determination was made of how the apparent relationship between vessel caliber and two systemic outcomes (blood pressure [BP] and white blood cell count [WBC]) was influenced by the choice of regression model. These findings were interpreted with reference to the known biological relationship among vessel calibers, BP, and WBC.
RESULTS. Models using arteriolar and venular calibers directly had more predictive information than models using AVR. The apparent relationship of vessel caliber to BP and WBC differed substantially, depending on the model chosen. For example, after adjustment for age, sex, and other covariates, decreasing venular caliber was associated with higher systolic BP when modeled separately, but was associated with lower systolic BP when modeled simultaneously with arteriolar caliber.
CONCLUSIONS. The findings suggest AVR provides less information with regards to predicting systemic outcomes than its two components. Modeling arteriolar and venular calibers separately could be biased by confounding, while modeling both simultaneously appears to provide unbiased, biologically plausible results. The use of this approach is recommended in future research relating retinal vascular caliber to systemic or ocular outcomes.
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